The Annualized Math Behind a 10x Return
Yesterday I shared the math on the 10x rule for startup investors. To recap, investors aim for a 10x return on their money when they invest in early-stage companies. A 10x return equates to a 25.89% annual return, assuming the investment is held for 10 years.
So, what does a ~26% annual return over a decade look like on a year-by-year basis? Here’s a breakdown:
- Year 0: $100
- Year 1: $125.89
- Year 2: $158.49
- Year 3: $199.53
- Year 4: $251.19
- Year 5: $316.23
- Year 6: $398.11
- Year 7: $501.19
- Year 8: $630.96
- Year 9: $794.33
- Year 10: $1,000
Naturally, if you reduce the holding period but keep the 10x outcome the same, the annual rate of return increases. For example, achieving a 10x return in 7 years results in a 39% annual return, and a 10x return in 5 years results in a 58.5% annual return.
When thinking about the 10x rule, I like to consider the holding period too so I can calculate the compound annual growth rate (CAGR).
