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From Atlanta to SF: One AI Founder’s Bet

This week, I had a conversation with an early-stage founder building an AI company to help large companies manage software development. He recently completed a substantial fundraising round. He’s from Atlanta, founded his company here, and was splitting his time between San Francisco (SF) and Atlanta, but he recently moved full-time to San Francisco.

I was curious about why he moved, and he told me he had two main reasons:

  • Talent – Only a few hundred people in the world know how to train large language models the way his company needs them trained, and those people are all in SF. He needs to be there to recruit talent.
  • Ground zero – The biggest breakthroughs are happening daily in SF. When you’re there, you’re working alongside the people making them. Because you know what they’re working on, you can build complementary products six or eight months before other people—who aren’t even aware the breakthrough is coming. Additionally, being physically closer to large-model companies like OpenAI enables you to gain access to useful information such as product roadmaps, which allows you to stay ahead of the curve in your building and decision-making.

This founder’s perspective is unique, given his knowledge of and deep entrenchment in both cities. I found it helpful. I understand why he moved to SF, but I’m hopeful that Atlanta will attract and produce more AI talent over the next few years, making it feel like ground zero. If so, hopefully, talented AI founders won’t need to move to achieve outsize success.

The Founder’s Most Important Job: Define the Problem

I’ve been chatting with an early-stage founder and providing feedback about his pitch deck. He’s sharp and a go-getter, and I enjoy working with him. He’s looking to raise a seed round from a venture capital firm and wanted my thoughts, since I’ve been inside an early-stage venture capital firm.

One of the things I’ve been questioning is the problem he’s trying to solve. He wasn’t stating it succinctly—he alluded to it, mentioning other problems as well. It was up to me, the reader, to reach the correct conclusion about the main problem he’s solving. I’d talked to him, so I could do that, but what about the investors who see a few pitch decks a day and would see his pitch cold? They won’t take the time to try to figure out the problem; they’ll just say no and move on to the next pitch deck.

Businesses exist to solve a problem for their customers. Customers pay for that solution if it provides value to them. It’s that simple. The customer’s problem is the foundation of the business. Solve their problem in a way that customers value, and they’ll pay you for that value. If you can’t articulate the problem clearly, that failure cascades through all aspects of the business and makes everything harder. Raising money and closing customers is harder, and even recruiting may be more challenging.

Understanding the one main problem you’re solving and communicating it clearly is harder than it sounds. If you can’t articulate your problem in a way that people instantly understand (even if they disagree with it), consider spending some time refining it and getting feedback until you nail it. Getting this right as early as possible will give you a north star that will make decision-making, fundraising, and a host of other things easier (not easy!) down the road.

Micro SMBs: The Market Startups Love to Overlook

I recently chatted with an early-stage entrepreneur who built an app that enables businesses to accept almost any payment method. As I learned about the problem he’s solving, he mentioned that his target customers are “micro SMBs.” That caught my attention—I liked that framing.

“SMB” stands for small and midsize business. It’s normally applied to any company that’s not a huge enterprise. This bucket is pretty wide. For example, a midsize company might be a retailer with $75 million in annual revenue and 150 employees. A small company might be a graphic design shop with 10 employees doing $1 million in revenue. Though they’re both SMBs, their complexity and problems differ wildly.

The micro SMB is the smallest business in this group. I think of it as solopreneurs (i.e., the founder is the only employee) and teams of up to five people doing $500,000 or less in annual revenue.

For many years, I’ve been bullish on building a business that solves problems for SMBs as a way to build a large business. According to an older book by Verne Harnish, only 4 percent of businesses in the U.S. have revenue of more than $1 million a year. Translation: the market to serve small businesses is huge. If you can solve a problem they have, you can get a lot of customers.

I love going after micro SMBs because they don’t expect perfection, there are tons of them, you’re usually selling to the owner, and they make purchase decisions quickly. Solutions to problems they couldn’t solve themselves and solutions that significantly free up their time so they can work on other parts of their business do great in this market. They’ll often buy on the spot if you check either of those boxes.

One knock against micro SMBs by investors and founders has to do with the process of selling to them. Price points for solutions in this market are often lower, which means you can’t afford outbound sales teams in many cases. That’s true, but I don’t think it’s a negative. I think of this market as more of a prosumer market. You’re marketing to a sophisticated consumer who is more willing to spend than the average consumer. Instead of outbound sales, strategies that gain this customer’s attention or educate them can attract them. Easier said than done, but highly effective when done strategically.

My conversation with this founder crystallized something for me. I like serving the SMB market, but I love serving the micro SMB market. It’s a tough-looking market, but once you nail it you can build a massive business with customers who often won’t consider switching solutions because they’re too busy running their small business.

Andre Blay Made Netflix and Blockbuster Possible

Reading Netflixed, I learned about an entrepreneur I’d never heard of. His name was Andre Blay. He was the man who created the market for VHS tapes and a multibillion-dollar industry, VHS rentals. That industry birthed tens of thousands of video rental entrepreneurs and led to the creation of Blockbuster Video. And he did all that in a few short years.

I want to learn more about him and how his vision led to a multibillion-dollar industry. He wrote a memoir that’s nearly impossible to find at a reasonable price, but I’m determined to get a copy. When I do, I’ll share what I learn.

Why AI-Savvy Students Should Solve Real Business Problems

Students versed in AI are concerned because entry-level software developer jobs are hard to land.

This week, I spoke with a computer science student at a top-tier school known for computer science. He’s about two years from graduation and already all in on AI. He’s creating side projects and is well versed in the latest technological developments.

He said the job market is tough for entry-level software developers (and internships). He and his friends are looking for ways to gain more practical AI experience to increase their chances of getting full-time roles after graduation.

As he talked, I couldn’t help but think of myself and early-stage entrepreneurs. I haven’t found the right developer to help with the next phase of my book project. And I know several other entrepreneurs with internal and customer problems they think AI can help solve, but they too haven’t found the right talent to help them.

I’m out of touch with the job market for entry-level software developers. But if it’s as tough as this student says, then helping entrepreneurs build AI solutions to sell or use internally is a great option for students. They would learn how to use technology to solve real problems and get to see firsthand how doing so creates value for a business. That experience could give them a leg up in recruiting or give them the know-how and confidence to start their own company to solve a problem.

Tariffs Might Kill Stores—And Spark Reinvention

This week, I had a long conversation with an entrepreneur who owns retail stores. The conversation centered on how tariffs are impacting her business. Most of the items she sells are imported from China. The only other countries with manufacturing capabilities are also subject to high tariffs, albeit lower ones than China. So, shifting to other countries wouldn’t solve her problem.

This entrepreneur traveled to the West Coast to understand how her wholesalers are planning to react. It wasn’t good. Some are raising prices to reflect the full tariff amount. Others plan to close up shop and walk away (after decades in business).

This entrepreneur’s wholesale costs will more than double, and she will likely have to double her prices. The challenge is that she doesn’t think her customers will be willing to pay double. She figures that revenue will decline regardless of what she does; the question is how much.

She also shared that she’s now considering starting other businesses. The possibility of her retail store failing for reasons beyond her control is real. It’s forcing her to be open to new opportunities in other industries to pay the bills.

I don’t know what will happen with tariffs. I suspect lots of entrepreneurs are rattled and thinking about plan B. I’m curious about what this will lead to. We could see a burst of entrepreneurial activity. When entrepreneurs’ backs are against the wall, they’re forced to do their best work. With tons of them facing this situation at the same time, some good is bound to come out of it.

Why Startup AI Projects Miss the Mark

AI is a hot topic among entrepreneurs right now. It’s a fantastic technology that makes the previously impossible possible. In the last few weeks, I’ve talked to several founders who want to use AI in their companies. They’re thinking along the lines of chatbots and other features. This struck me as odd because it’s not clear if these things would add value to their customers.

After I left one of these conversations, I realized that the founder is building technology in search of a problem. To his credit, he knows that AI is powerful and can change his company and benefit its customers. But he just doesn’t know enough about the technology to determine how to apply it in his business. So, he defaulted to building what he’s seen be successful at other companies: chatbots and the like.  

Companies exist to solve problems. By solving problems, they add value to customers, and customers pay them for that value. If a technology doesn’t help a customer materially or help you help the customer, what’s the point of using the technology in your business?

AI is powerful, and all entrepreneurs should explore and use it in their businesses. I think the best approach to adopting it, if you’re unfamiliar with it, is to pinpoint a problem that’s painful for you or your customers—one that you can’t solve or that’s painfully expensive to solve. Then, search the numerous AI tools for one that can help you solve that problem. Evaluating each AI tool to understand whether it can do that will expose the limitations of each tool and the technology as a whole. This process will accelerate your AI learning and help you get comfortable with the technology.

This approach will help you create a better solution for yourself or your customers and give you a deeper understanding of AI capabilities that you can use to solve future problems.

How E-Comm Founders Are Adapting to Tariffs

Tariffs and the stock market decline after they were announced were all over the media late last week. I lived through tariffs with my e-commerce company, and it wasn’t fun. I learned valuable lessons about how tariffs impact wholesale and retail markets for physical goods, especially for the automotive parts we sold online.

I was curious about how entrepreneurs think about tariffs, so I talked to a few e-commerce entrepreneurs, who are also friends, this weekend.

A few things I learned:

  • Entrepreneurs in retail (online and physical) are worried about tariffs because they can’t absorb the cost of tariffs—they have to pass the cost on to customers.
  • All the entrepreneurs saw sales soften in the last quarter or two before the tariff announcements. The tariffs feel like a double whammy.
  • Customers are asking when or if prices will increase because of tariffs.
  • All the entrepreneurs are looking at ways to do more with less and exploring whether AI can help.
  • They’re all pausing any spending on new growth initiatives.
  • They all recognize that they can’t do anything about the tariffs and aren’t dwelling on them—but they’re monitoring developments like hawks and navigating them as best they can.

Tariffs are a big deal for e-commerce companies whose products aren’t manufactured in the US. I’m curious to see how this all plays out, and I’m mentally preparing myself to pay more for physical goods.

How Part-Time CEOing Stunts Growth

Today, I talked to an entrepreneur who’s a dentist. Over the last decade, he’s steadily grown the business to about 20 dental offices (each office does ~$1 million in annual revenue). To date, he’s used bank loans and hasn’t raised from investors, but he’s considering raising growth capital to accelerate growth and build his company to more than 100 locations.

During our chat, he shared that he recently stopped seeing patients. That decision completely changed his business. He realized that for many years he’d been a full-time dentist and a part-time CEO. He wasn’t giving the business the attention it needed. He didn’t have the bandwidth to work on long-term or strategic planning. He was too busy working in the business, seeing patients.

Now that he’s a full-time CEO, he sees the opportunity ahead of him more clearly, and he realizes he needs to raise eight figures of growth capital to turn his vision into reality.

His insight reminded me of the difference between working in the business and working on the business. For years after I started my company, I was deep in operations to keep the company going. Once I hired more people and removed myself from operations, we grew rapidly. I was finally able to think higher level and longer-term. I identified growth initiatives and focused on making those projects successful so the business could grow.

Like this dental entrepreneur, I didn’t realize for years that to grow my business, I needed to be working on it, not in it.

How Michael Bloomberg & Adolph Ochs Sold Public Info

Two weeks ago, I read a second biography about Albert Lasker, The Man Who Sold America. It mentioned how Lasker worked with Adolph Ochs, who owned The New York Times, to free Leo Frank, who had been charged with the murder of Mary Phagan in Atlanta in 1913. Lasker and Ochs, both Jewish, felt Frank was being wrongly accused because he was Jewish. Learning how Lasker and Ochs created a sophisticated media campaign to draw attention to this case nationally was fascinating.

I’d never heard of Ochs, but I was curious about his journey and how he became the owner of The New York Times. This week, I began reading a biography about him, An Honorable Titan, by Gerald Johnson.

I’m early in the book, but I’ve already been surprised by Ochs’s history: The publisher of a nationally recognized and New York–based newspaper dropped out of school at 14. He wasn’t from an elite family or background. He had to start working full-time at 14.

Adolph began his career as an information entrepreneur in Chattanooga, Tennessee, where he sold a directory at age 19. In 1878, he and a partner created a directory of all the businesses in Chattanooga. This was a manual effort requiring them to canvass the entire city house-by-house to collect the information before they compiled it in a book.

The benefit of this grunt work was that Adolph developed a detailed understanding of the town, its businesses, and the entrepreneurs who owned them. His directory became a valuable resource that allowed him to establish relationships with all the entrepreneurs in town and add value to them by providing aggregated information about where to buy goods and services.

Adolph was selling information that, for the most part, was readily available to everyone in Chattanooga. But by compiling it and making it easy to use, he created something of value that others were happy to pay for. It’s not exactly the same, but it reminds me of how Michael Bloomberg took publicly available bond market data, centralized it, and made it easy for people to make buy-and-sell decisions around bonds (more here). The information product is still, as of this writing, the anchor of his empire and over $100 billion fortune.

It’s interesting how these two information entrepreneurs took a similar approach when they started out though there’s a 100-year gap between them.

I’m curious to learn more about Ochs and how all this led him to The New York Times.